Is the Iran revolt stoppable?
aldikkani
Today, the people of
As public pressure on the regime is mounting the government’s defense of its legitimacy is turning brutal: 17 demonstrators killed so far.
It is still too early to predict if the massive protest in the streets will succeed in bringing about a new government. Regardless of the immediate outcome, public trust in the current political system has largely disappeared.
Globalization of politics is crucial. International support for the plight of the people of
Those who see this revolt unstoppable find a radically new set of circumstances for political change: awakening of Iranian society- particularly women, conflict within leadership of clerics and ease of spread of information through modern technology.
But those who see this revolt reversible do not believe that Iran is ready for change, given the heavy weight of tradition, the near even split between the populist and the modernist and the formidable record of the Middle East state to suppress dissent.
Dissenting Iranians deserve moral support from the West but they are hesitant to ask for such support for good reasons. External support of internal resistance may backfire.
If there is regime change in
Despite their social distance from the West, Iranians would like to be viewed differently by the outside world. They have survived intact a long war that was inflicted on them by
In 1979, the people of
What is happening in
Arabs are afraid to substitute entrenched despotic regimes for unpredictable political systems.
What is happening in
Even if this revolt fails to reach its full objectives the next one is coming sooner than expected.
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